Sunday, August 28, 2011

The Week Ahead & More Atlantic Action?

As we expected, temperatures and humidity levels were down slightly for our Sunday after the passage of a weak cold front last night.  We'll get to squeeze in a couple more days with lower humidity and highs in the mid/upper 80's on Monday & Tuesday, with lows in the upper 50's to around 60.
By Wednesday, a warm front will make its way northward through the area, which will bring just a very small chance of an isolated shower or storm, and will also bring the return of the 90's and higher humidity, just in time for the beginning of September. 


Looking ahead to Labor Day Weekend, a cold front will be trying to slide in from the northwest, this will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms to the region.  At this point in time, this looks like the best chance of rain for the next week, which isn't saying too much, considering moisture will be limited with this system.  This should bring at least a small cool down by the Labor Day holiday.

Now onto the Atlantic...just as Irene winds down, Tropical Storm Jose has joined the club.  This storm may bring some rain and wind to Bermuda, but doesn't look like it should be much of a troublemaker.

The bigger concern is a tropical wave way out in the eastern Atlantic, south of the Cape Verde Islands....currently known as "Invest 92", indicating that the National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring the system.

 As of the 8PM update tonight, the NHC was forecasting a near 100% chance of this becoming Tropical Storm Katia over the next 48 hours, and the GFS ensemble forecast models paint and interesting picture with the forecast for the possible track of this system.

As you can see by the image above....this system could be headed into the same general areas that just dealt with Irene.  Of course this system is still way too far away to even think about making any sort of specific forecast, but this certainly is attention-grabbing, and will be interesting to monitor this week.

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